CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-11-07T12:53:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-11-07T12:53ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/42527/-1
CME Note: [PRELIMINARY] This CME is visible to the northeast in SOHO LASCO C2/C3, GOES CCOR-1, and STEREO A COR2 imagery. The source is likely related to an eruption northeast of Active Region 14274 (N35E30) starting around 2025-11-07T12:00Z as seen in GOES SUVI 131/171/195/284/304 imagery. An EUV wave is observed northeast of the eruption site as seen in GOES SUVI 195 imagery, with a wide opening of field lines observed over the northeast limb in GOES SUVI 195/284 imagery. Post eruptive arcades begin to form around 2025-11-07T14:00Z as seen in GOES SUVI 171/195 imagery.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2025-11-11T22:11Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-11-12T11:36Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 70.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.5
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: 73.08 hour(s)
Difference: -13.42 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-11-08T21:06Z
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